XRP price prediction: A decline below $1 or bullish reversal – What’s coming?

Ripple [XRP] is down 1% in the past 24 hours and 9% this week, extending its structural weakness that has stayed since last year, July. The weakness is consistent across the crypto market except for a few coins in narratives like AI. Does that mean XRP price will continue dropping, or the slowly returning whale activity will help salvage the situation? XRP has been in a sideways market since the start of February, after coming off another sharp descent. This range between $1.28 and $1.55 lasted until the end of May, when the altcoin broke down. The altcoin went ahead and made a low of around $1, then pulled back to retest the broken support level. A confirmed retest suggested potential continuation as the price approached this low. Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView More analysis showed seller momentum was at its peak. The Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is oversold, with a reading of negative 76. On the contrary, the RSI Divergence indicator bounced from the oversold territory with a reading of 36. However, for a downtrend continuation, price needs to make another low. This price weakness stems from a couple of factors, including low network activity and increased supply. Additionally, XRP dominance has been declining since mid-2025. Then, XRP dominance was at 5.50%, but now it trades at 3.23% with signs of continuation. This metric is trading at the apex of a descending triangle and is about to break out. This prediction is because compression rarely lasts and it’s followed by expansion. If that becomes the case, capital might rotate back to the XRP ecosystem. Source: XRP dominance on TradingView With that in mind, more decline might be expected if bears make another low and XRP dominance trades weaken more. Otherwise, a bullish reversal might be coming as whales start to load the altcoin alongside Bitcoin [BTC]. Whale loads XRP and BTC simultaneously — Is there a correlation? As the altcoin trades at a significant discount, whales are positioning once again. That is, a whale opened a 20x leveraged long of more than 27.924 million XRP, worth well over $30 million, on HyperliquidX [HYPE]. The same whale bought about 810 BTC with the same leverage, valued at $50.60 million. These monster positions might suggest an upcoming bullish reversal in both tokens. The two cryptos are fairly correlated, with a Correlation Coefficient of 0.68, but it is declining. Source: HypurrScan All in all, XRP price is trading in a bear market structure in the near term, but there are signs of potential reversal. However, it majorly depends on how the broader crypto market behaves in the following sessions. Final Summary XRP’s price broke below a sideways range and confirmed the breakdown with a retest but has yet to surpass the previous low. Dominance is declining alongside price, but whales are loading the altcoin, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.