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Forex & Trading·Jul 22, 2026

Iran broadens its threats as the rhetoric turns increasingly dangerous

Both sides continue to ratchet up the rhetoric, with the warnings becoming increasingly broader and more forceful. Iran's Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) warned that if its bridges or power plants are attacked, it would retaliate by cutting electricity supplies to U.S. regional allies, expanding the potential battlefield to critical civilian infrastructure. The maritime front is also heating up. The IRGC Navy claimed it has "absolute control" over the entrance and exit to the Strait of Hormuz and warned commercial vessels against attempting alternative shipping routes, saying they would be "unsafe and dangerous" and could face "serious and irreparable consequences." The comments underscore Iran's effort to project control over one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. Adding to the uncertainty, Arab media cited by Fars reported several explosions in Kuwait, although there has been no immediate confirmation regarding the cause or any connection to the broader conflict. Meanwhile Trump - in addition to his threats - reposted the following on his TruthSocial account: President Trump has often been labeled by critics as "TACO" ("Trump Always Chickens Out"), a reference to the view that he ultimately backs away from his toughest threats. But with the November elections approaching, gasoline prices back above $4.00 a gallon, U.S. service members at risk of injury or death, and reports that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is heading to Washington, the pressure to take a tougher stance could grow. Whether that leads to greater military escalation remains to be seen. It's easy to see the gathering gloom. Everyone hopes it never reaches the doom. But one thing is certain: war is ugly. PS: Irans top joint military command says US Pres. repeated threats will only lead to expansion of war in the region and beyond. If US attacks on threats, Iran will stop all Gulf oil flow and target oil, gas, electricity and economic infrastructure in the region This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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Iran broadens its threats as the rhetoric turns increasingly dangerous
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Both sides continue to ratchet up the rhetoric, with the warnings becoming increasingly broader and more forceful. Iran's Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) warned that if its bridges or power plants are attacked, it would retaliate by cutting electricity supplies to U.S. regional allies, expanding the potential battlefield to critical civilian infrastructure. The maritime front is also heating up. The IRGC Navy claimed it has "absolute control" over the entrance and exit to the Strait of Hormuz and warned commercial vessels against attempting alternative shipping routes, saying they would be "unsafe and dangerous" and could face "serious and irreparable consequences." The comments underscore Iran's effort to project control over one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. Adding to the uncertainty, Arab media cited by Fars reported several explosions in Kuwait, although there has been no immediate confirmation regarding the cause or any connection to the broader conflict. Meanwhile Trump - in addition to his threats - reposted the following on his TruthSocial account: President Trump has often been labeled by critics as "TACO" ("Trump Always Chickens Out"), a reference to the view that he ultimately backs away from his toughest threats. But with the November elections approaching, gasoline prices back above $4.00 a gallon, U.S. service members at risk of injury or death, and reports that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is heading to Washington, the pressure to take a tougher stance could grow. Whether that leads to greater military escalation remains to be seen. It's easy to see the gathering gloom. Everyone hopes it never reaches the doom. But one thing is certain: war is ugly. PS: Irans top joint military command says US Pres. repeated threats will only lead to expansion of war in the region and beyond. If US attacks on threats, Iran will stop all Gulf oil flow and target oil, gas, electricity and economic infrastructure in the region This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

  • Both sides continue to ratchet up the rhetoric, with the warnings becoming increasingly broader and more forceful.
  • Iran's Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) warned that if its bridges or power plants are attacked, it would retaliate by cutting electricity supplies to U.S. regional allies, expanding the potential battlefield to critical civilian infrastructure.
  • Adding to the uncertainty, Arab media cited by Fars reported several explosions in Kuwait, although there has been no immediate confirmation regarding the cause or any connection to the broader conflict.
  • PS: Irans top joint military command says US Pres. repeated threats will only lead to expansion of war in the region and beyond.
  • If US attacks on threats, Iran will stop all Gulf oil flow and target oil, gas, electricity and economic infrastructure in the region This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
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Both sides continue to ratchet up the rhetoric, with the warnings becoming increasingly broader and more forceful. Iran's Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) warned that if its bridges or power plants are attacked, it would retaliate by cutting electricity supplies to U.S. regional allies, expanding the potential battlefield to critical civilian infrastructure. The maritime front is also heating up. The IRGC Navy claimed it has "absolute control" over the entrance and exit to the Strait of Hormuz and warned commercial vessels against attempting alternative shipping routes, saying they would be "unsafe and dangerous" and could face "serious and irreparable consequences." The comments underscore Iran's effort to project control over one of the world's most important energy chokepoints. Adding to the uncertainty, Arab media cited by Fars reported several explosions in Kuwait, although there has been no immediate confirmation regarding the cause or any connection to the broader conflict. Meanwhile Trump - in addition to his threats - reposted the following on his TruthSocial account: President Trump has often been labeled by critics as "TACO" ("Trump Always Chickens Out"), a reference to the view that he ultimately backs away from his toughest threats. But with the November elections approaching, gasoline prices back above $4.00 a gallon, U.S. service members at risk of injury or death, and reports that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is heading to Washington, the pressure to take a tougher stance could grow. Whether that leads to greater military escalation remains to be seen. It's easy to see the gathering gloom. Everyone hopes it never reaches the doom. But one thing is certain: war is ugly. PS: Irans top joint military command says US Pres. repeated threats will only lead to expansion of war in the region and beyond. If US attacks on threats, Iran will stop all Gulf oil flow and target oil, gas, electricity and economic infrastructure in the region This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 22 Jul. Middle east tensions keep markets on edge. Oil higher.
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 22 Jul. Middle east tensions keep markets on edge. Oil higher.

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Economic and event calendar in Asia - Australian jobs report
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Economic and event calendar in Asia - Australian jobs report

The labour market report from Australia features today. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at a low, by historical standards, 4.4%. Its risen over past months as the three Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes in succession have weighed on jobs growth, at the margin, but unless its some sort of blow up higher, or jobs added shunt substantially into the negative, the data today is unlikely to impact the RBA, or AUD, too much. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

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Tesla, Alphabet, ServiceNow, IBM, Texas Instruments all report after the close
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Tesla, Alphabet, ServiceNow, IBM, Texas Instruments all report after the close

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ECB expected to hold, but EURUSD is nearing a breaking point after being confined.
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ECB expected to hold, but EURUSD is nearing a breaking point after being confined.

What is expected? Decision (8:15 AM ET / 12:15 GMT) Deposit Facility Rate: 2.25% (expected unchanged) Main Refinancing Rate: 2.40% (expected unchanged) Marginal Lending Facility: 2.65% (expected unchanged) Why is the ECB expected to pause rates? Inflation has eased from earlier highs but remains above the ECB's 2% target. Growth across the euro area remains sluggish. The recent surge off the declines in oil prices due to increased Middle East tensions creates upside inflation risks, but policymakers are likely to wait for more data before acting again. The ECB already raised rates in June and is expected to assess how those tighter financial conditions filter through the economy. What will traders focus on? 1. September guidance (most important) Markets want to know whether Lagarde continues to leave the door open for another rate hike in September. A more confident inflation outlook would be euro-positive, while emphasizing growth risks could weigh on the euro. 2. Energy prices The renewed jump in crude oil following Middle East tensions has complicated the inflation outlook. Traders will listen for whether the ECB believes higher energy costs risk spilling over into broader inflation. 3. Data dependence Expect Lagarde to stress that future decisions remain meeting-by-meeting and data dependent, avoiding any firm commitment on September. What about the technical picture? What is the roadmap for traders? The good news for traders is that markets rarely stay this quiet forever. Extended consolidations eventually give way to trending moves. The challenge is identifying which side wins the breakout. On the hourly chart, the prolonged sideways action has caused the 100- and 200-hour moving averages to converge, with both currently sitting near 1.1423. The pair broke below those moving averages on Monday, retested them yesterday, and again found sellers near the same levels today. As a result, the short-term bias remains modestly bearish while the price stays below those trend-defining averages. Those moving averages now serve as the market's immediate barometer. A move back above them would shift the near-term bias in favor of the buyers, while remaining below keeps sellers in control. The longer-term range boundaries are equally important. With the pair currently trading near 1.1410, support at 1.1362 sits just 48 pips lower. A sustained break below that level would increase the bearish bias and open the door toward the June low at 1.1323. On the topside, a move back above the converged moving averages would target the 38.2% retracement at 1.1462, followed by last week's high at 1.1482. Those resistance levels are only about 50 to 70 pips above current prices. In other words, while the EURUSD appears to be going nowhere, it actually doesn't have to travel very far before a meaningful directional move begins. The roadmap is well defined. The wildcard is Thursday's ECB rate decision. Expectations are for policymakers to leave rates unchanged and avoid any major surprises, which could produce more of the same range trading. However, markets are built to move, and periods of unusually low volatility often precede larger directional swings. The EURUSD has been unusually quiet for weeks. Whether the ECB provides the catalyst or not, traders should be prepared for the possibility that this long period of consolidation is nearing its end. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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