Forex & Trading·May 20, 2026

Preview: Australia April jobs data eyed as AUD rally and RBA rate path hang in balance

Australia's April jobs data, due Thursday, is expected to show employment rising around 10k-15k with unemployment steady at 4.3%, though Easter distortions and Middle East risks cloud the outlook. ----- The April employment print carries outsized significance for both AUD/USD and RBA rate expectations. A strong result would reinforce the case for continued tightening after three consecutive quarter-point hikes and empower AUD to challenge four-year highs near 0.7283. A soft outcome, particularly if unemployment rises toward 4.4% to 4.5% or full-time employment falls, would materially dent rate hike expectations and risk transforming recent AUD weakness into a more significant reversal of the rally that has run since April 2025, with limited technical support ahead of 0.6830 to 0.6835. Easter timing adds noise: the survey window completely overlaps both Good Friday and Easter Monday, a seasonal abnormality that could exaggerate weakness in the headline number and complicate like-for-like interpretation. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Forexlive1 min readSingle source
Preview: Australia April jobs data eyed as AUD rally and RBA rate path hang in balance
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The gist
3-point summary · 1 min

Australia's April jobs data, due Thursday, is expected to show employment rising around 10k-15k with unemployment steady at 4.3%, though Easter distortions and Middle East risks cloud the outlook. ----- The April employment print carries outsized significance for both AUD/USD and RBA rate expectations. A strong result would reinforce the case for continued tightening after three consecutive quarter-point hikes and empower AUD to challenge four-year highs near 0.7283. A soft outcome, particularly if unemployment rises toward 4.4% to 4.5% or full-time employment falls, would materially dent rate hike expectations and risk transforming recent AUD weakness into a more significant reversal of the rally that has run since April 2025, with limited technical support ahead of 0.6830 to 0.6835. Easter timing adds noise: the survey window completely overlaps both Good Friday and Easter Monday, a seasonal abnormality that could exaggerate weakness in the headline number and complicate like-for-like interpretation. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

  • A strong result would reinforce the case for continued tightening after three consecutive quarter-point hikes and empower AUD to challenge four-year highs near 0.7283.
  • Easter timing adds noise: the survey window completely overlaps both Good Friday and Easter Monday, a seasonal abnormality that could exaggerate weakness in the headline number and complicate like-for-like interpretation.
  • This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
4.3%4.4%4.5%April 2025
In this article

Australia's April jobs data, due Thursday, is expected to show employment rising around 10k-15k with unemployment steady at 4.3%, though Easter distortions and Middle East risks cloud the outlook. ----- The April employment print carries outsized significance for both AUD/USD and RBA rate expectations. A strong result would reinforce the case for continued tightening after three consecutive quarter-point hikes and empower AUD to challenge four-year highs near 0.7283. A soft outcome, particularly if unemployment rises toward 4.4% to 4.5% or full-time employment falls, would materially dent rate hike expectations and risk transforming recent AUD weakness into a more significant reversal of the rally that has run since April 2025, with limited technical support ahead of 0.6830 to 0.6835. Easter timing adds noise: the survey window completely overlaps both Good Friday and Easter Monday, a seasonal abnormality that could exaggerate weakness in the headline number and complicate like-for-like interpretation. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Integrity note  ·  Xela does not rewrite or paraphrase article content. The excerpt above is the source publication's own words, sanitized for display. For the full piece — including any quotes, charts, or images — read it at Forexlive. Xela's rewritten version is off for this story, so there's no editorial angle attached — you're getting the source's reporting unfiltered. When the rewrite is on, we add a What this means block underneath with the operator/trader takeaway.

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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 21 Jul: USDJPY trades to a 40 year high and runs
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 21 Jul: USDJPY trades to a 40 year high and runs

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ForexliveSingle source
investingLive Americas FX news wrap 21 Jul: USDJPY trades to a 40 year high and runs
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 21 Jul: USDJPY trades to a 40 year high and runs

The USD is ending the session mostly higher vs the major currencies. The one exception was the AUD where the greenback fell -0.11%. A look at the changes shows: ?? Japanese Yen:-0.42% vs USD – The yen was the day's weakest major currency, pushing USDJPY to a fresh 40-year high as rising U.S. Treasury yields and persistent policy divergence continued to favor the dollar. See post . ?? Swiss Franc:-0.37% vs USD – The dollar also posted a solid gain against the franc, extending its recent strength. ?? Canadian Dollar:-0.26% vs USD – The greenback advanced against the loonie, as the markets react to the Trump tariffs on Canada. ?? Australian Dollar:+0.11% vs USD – The Aussie outperformed the dollar modestly, with the USD slipping slightly. The pair did come off of highs that failed after breaking the 38.2% retracement target. See post . ?? Euro:-0.11% vs USD – The euro edged higher against the dollar in relatively quiet trading. ?? New Zealand Dollar:-0.15% vs USD – The kiwi also gained modestly against the greenback. ?? British Pound:-0.34% vs USD – Sterling was the strongest performer among the major currencies, posting the largest gain versus the dollar. USDJPY extended its rally to a new 40-year high, driven by higher U.S. Treasury yields and the widening policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Technically, the pair remains firmly in the hands of the buyers after once again finding support near its rising trendline yesterday, and pushing above the prior July high at 162.833 (close support now). The breakout confirms the bullish bias, with momentum continuing to favor additional gains as long as the pair holds above the prior old high. The next key target is not until 164.50 area. While traders remain alert to the possibility of official Japanese intervention at these elevated levels, price action continues to show that buyers are in control and willing to buy dips. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said the new tariffs violate the spirit of the USMCA and warned that Canada is prepared to consider all options if the measures proceed. While Carney stressed he wants a comprehensive agreement covering all key sectors—not a partial deal—he also revealed that he and President Trump spoke and agreed to intensify negotiations in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer emphasized that talks remain active despite the latest escalation, saying the administration's goal is to reduce the U.S. trade deficit with Canada, encourage more manufacturing to return to the United States, and secure a trade agreement that delivers better outcomes for U.S. businesses. 2-Year Treasury:4.2636% (+4.86 bps) 5-Year Treasury:4.3712% (+4.12 bps) 10-Year Treasury:4.6301% (+3.24 bps) 30-Year Treasury:5.1333% (+1.53 bps) Dow Jones: +386.04 points (+0.74%) to 52,230.23 S&P 500: +65.92 points (+0.89%) to 7,509.21 NASDAQ: +329.13 points (+1.29%) to 25,837.21 Russell 2000: +44.97 points (+1.53%) to 2,987.40 Chip and AI stocks were the clear leaders, with investors aggressively buying back into the sector after recent weakness. Nebius Group (NBIS): +18.76% Sandisk (SNDK): +14.27% Micron (MU): +12.17% Coherent (COHR): +11.15% Lumentum (LITE): +9.41% Intel (INTC): +8.64% AMD: +8.11% Arm Holdings (ARM): +7.46% Applied Materials (AMAT): +7.39% Marvell Technology (MRVL): +6.68% Within the Dow 30, industrials, healthcare, financials, and technology stocks paced the gains. 3M (MMM): +7.33% UnitedHealth (UNH): +3.51% Caterpillar (CAT): +2.95% Goldman Sachs (GS): +2.92% NVIDIA (NVDA): +1.97% The day's weakest Dow components included: Boeing (BA): -2.22% Salesforce (CRM): -2.12% Sherwin-Williams (SHW): -1.62% Walmart (WMT): -1.61% McDonald's (MCD): -1.40% Despite those pockets of weakness, broad-based buying across technology and cyclical sectors kept the major indices near their session highs into the close. In other markets: Crude oil moved higher by over 2%. Gold is also higher by $74 or 1.85% at $4083. Silver is up $2.21 for 3.9% at $58.68 and Bitcoin is up over $1000 and $66,352 This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

ForexliveSingle source
Secretary of War Hegseth needs more money for war
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Secretary of War Hegseth needs more money for war

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ForexliveSingle source
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